Tracking The Signal Of Emerging Technologies

Last week the words of science fiction writer William Gibson ran rampant over the Twitter back channel at the inaugural NASA IT Summit when a speaker quoted his observation that "The future is here. It's just not evenly distributed yet." That's a familiar idea to readers of the O'Reilly Radar, given its focus on picking up the weak signals that provide insight into what's coming next. So what does the future of technology hold for humanity and space flight? I've been reading the fiction of Jules Verne, Isaac Asimov, David Brin, Neal Stephenson, Bruce Sterling and many other great authors since I was a boy, and thinking and dreaming of what's to come. I'm not alone in that; Tim O'Reilly is also dreaming of augmented reality fiction these days.

Last week I interviewed NASA's CIO and CTO at the NASA IT Summit about some of that fiction made real. We discussed open source, cloud computing, virtualization, and Climate@Home, a distributed supercomputer for climate modeling. Those all represent substantive, current implementations of enterprise IT that enable the agency to support mission-critical systems. (If you haven't read about the state of space IT, it's worth circling back.)

Three speakers at the Summit offered perspectives on emerging technologies that were compelling enough to report on:

  • Former senior technology officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency Lewis Shepherd
  • Gartner VP David Cearley
  • Father of the Internet Vint Cerf
You can watch Cerf speak in the embedded video below. (As a bonus, Jack Blitch's presentation on Disney's "Imagineers" follows.) For more on the technologies they discuss, and Shepherd's insight into a "revolution in scientific computing," read on.

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7 Tactics & Incentives For Open Innovation

Author: Roland Harwood

The last decade has seen the rise of collaboration as a by-word for innovation success. This is now often referred to as ‘open innovation’ which we define as sharing the risks and rewards of innovation with others. This may sound simple enough and yet in our experience many large organisations struggle with implementing it as open innovation is it can be highly counter-cultural and disruptive. In this short article we present seven tactics and incentives that can really help to spark open innovation success.

1. Share both Risks and Rewards

Most people feel pretty comfortable with the idea of spreading the risks of innovation with others, however more interesting and difficult is how we collectively share the rewards. It is essential to recognise that open innovation inevitably means sacrificing some short term benefits in return for valuable longer terms relationships. You can no longer run away from your reputation as you once could and so all organisations, both large and small, ought to strive to be the partner of choice in your field, through being open, honest and approachable. A company who understands this really well is Procter and Gamble who seek to be the first port of call for any innovator with a product or service that fits one of their brands. This market positioning has significant commercial benefit and their primary competitors lose out by often only ever seeing opportunities that P&G have rejected.

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Why Net Neutrality Is Critical To Startups And Innovation

Author: Chris Cameron
"A regulated Internet is a comforting thought to the access providers and a frightening thought to entrepreneurs and the ecosystem around them."
- Fred Wilson
One thing to note about net neutrality is that it is not something that proponents are looking to change about the net. As it is now, the Internet is a level playing field, and service providers cannot discriminate between their customers. Net neutrality is instead something its supporters are looking to uphold - a fundamental cornerstone of the net whose loss would be detrimental to most.

The level playing field of the net today allows small companies to grow very quickly and to challenge larger players. With everyone operating on the same bandwidth (for example), a startup can theoretically compete with large established companies. Without net neutrality, the larger companies with bigger budgets could position themselves to wedge out any smaller competition, stifling innovation.

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7 Hints For Selling Ideas

Author: Rosabeth Moss Kanter

Regardless of how good it is, no idea sells itself. Before getting commitment to proceed with an idea for a new product, process, venture, technology, service, policy, or organizational change, innovators must sell the idea to potential backers and supporters, and neutralize the critics. They must find resources, expertise, and support. They must convince colleagues to advance the idea in meetings they don't attend.

People whose ideas get traction — that manage get out of the starting gate — take advantage of this practical advice for selling ideas.

1. Seek many inputs. Listen actively to many points of view. Then incorporate aspects of each of them into the project plan, so that you can show people exactly where their perspectives or suggestions appear.

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Is Groupon’s CityDeal Acquisition A Disaster For German Innovators?

Author: Mike Butcher

The Groupon acquisition of CityDeal is being hailed by many across Europe as a good exit for the German-based clone (yes, there is no point in saying it is anything else but a Groupon clone). But luckily there are more than just clones in Germany. The burgeoning cluster in Mitte, central Berlin, is producing startups such as Soundcloud, hiogi, Babbel, Twinity, SongBeat and aka-aki. Nokia bought Dopplr and with it set up an innovation lab amongst the beating heart of Berlin’s startups. Hamburg has spawned many others include Qype, Europe’s Yelp, and more recently the interesting Apprupt. VCs in Hamburg and Munich vie over raw engineering talent out of German universities, and our TechCrunch Europe Munich and Berlin events last year were buzzing. As US-born Germany-based VC Paul Josefak recently guest posted for us, he’s coming across “multiple companies who recently closed either initial or follow-on rounds.”

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10 Things Every CEO Should Know About Design

Author: Jason Putorti, Founder of elegant.ly and Former Lead Designer of mint.com, has created a gorgeous presentation pointing out 10 things every CEO should know about design.

Great design can revolutionize your business -- just take a look at Apple.

His top ten points:

What is design?
1. Design can change businesses
2. Design is more than pretty pictures

Great design:
3. Talks benefits, not features
4. Thinks in flows, not screens
5. Doesn't make the user think

A great design process:
6. Starts with a great story
7. Uses design as a lever
8. Gets out of the office
9. Has a bible
10. Repeats and refines

via SlideShare

Don't Believe The 98% Innovaiton Failure Rate. It Is Just A Myth. Here Are My Top Five Innovation Tips.

Author: Idris Mootee

Here's a picture of us having a welcome lunch outdoor with our new co-head of multidisciplinary design Jesse D (a Texan and Arts Center grad who has been living in Asia for many years). I first met with him in Shanghai 6 months ago and finally he landed here after 30 hours of flight time. He is still living in a suitcase for now but I am looking forward to have him participating in some of our very exciting innovation projects. Innovation needs more design mind.

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Invention, Innovation And Imitation

Author: Neil Perkin

"Live in the market, not in a spreadsheet" Cheryl McKinnon

I agree with Noah that the word innovation is so overused that it's all but meaningless. And that what meaning is attributed to it is often misplaced. A point he eloquently makes in his excellent post (and the presentation which I've embedded below) in which he draws the distinction between invention (as 'the creation of a new idea or process'), innovation (as 'arranging the economic requirements for implementing an innovation'), and diffusion ('adoption and imitation'). Noah defines three separate roles (which might be fulfilled by a single person) in the innovation process: the capitalist who provides the money; the inventor who creates the idea; and the entrepreneur who adapts the idea, brings it to market, and commercialises it. Each role is a different task, requiring different skills.

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Apple Keeps Winning Because It Is A Giant Startup

Author: Zephrin Lasker

young steve jobs

Late last week, Apple (AAPL) reported $13.5 billion in revenue for the first quarter of the year. You might be forgiven for thinking that it’s a huge multinational corporation. But here’s why – despite its impressive earnings – Apple is more like a startup than you might think. In fact, it’s the key to its success.

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